Wednesday 16th May: Asian Markets fall on geo-political tensions

IC Markets Market Review
IC Markets Market Review

Global Markets:

  • Asian Stock Markets : Nikkei down 0.39%, Shanghai Composite down 0.17%, Hang Seng up 0.08%, ASX up 0.32%
  • Commodities : Gold at $1294.40 (+0.32%), Silver at $16.31 (+0.25%), Brent Oil at $78.27 (-0.20%), WTI Oil at $71.17 (-0.20%)
  • Rates : US 10-year yield at 3.069, UK 10-year yield at 1.518, Germany 10-year yield at 0.640

News & Data:

  • (NZD) GDT Price Index 1.90% vs -1.10% previous
  • (USD) Empire State Manufacturing Index 20.1 vs 15.1 expected
  • (USD) Retail Sales m/m 0.30% vs 0.40% expected
  • (USD) Core Retail Sales m/m 0.30% vs 0.50% expected
  • (EUR) German ZEW Economic Sentiment -8.2 vs -8 expected
  • (EUR) Flash GDP q/q 0.40% vs 0.40% expected
  • (GBP) Unemployment Rate 4.20% vs 4.20% expected
  • (GBP) Claimant Count Change 31.2K vs 13.3K expected
  • (GBP) Average Earnings Index 3m/y 2.60% vs 2.70% expected
  • (CHF) PPI m/m 0.40% vs 0.30% expected
  • (EUR) German Prelim GDP q/q 0.30% vs 0.40% expected
  • Moody’s: China unlikely to meet US demands on bilateral trade
  • North Korea: Will Never Engage In Economic Trade With United States In Exchange For Giving Up Its Nuclear Programme – KCNA

Markets Update:

Asian shares fell today as North Korea pulled out of talks with US, insisting that they would not go ahead with a Libya style de-nuclearization. Pyongyang has called off talks with Seoul, and the threat of backing out looms over the planned Kim Jong Un – Trump meeting. Cues from the Wall Street were also negative, as increasing interest rates threatened to put a damper on global demand.

The Japanese market is declining – following negative cues from the Wall Street. Investors also digested data that showed the Japanese economy contracted in the first quarter, snapping a string of eight straight quarters of expansion. Despite negative cues and geopolitical tension, the ASX is rising, supported by miners and energy stocks, whose forte has been held firm – given a rise in oil prices and stable commodity prices.

The rise in yields hurt U.S. share markets on concerns it would undercut stock valuations. The strong U.S. data underpinned the dollar in currency markets. High-yielding Asian currencies were particularly vulnerable to higher U.S. yields, which could prompt investors to shift funds out of emerging markets.

The yen largely shrugged off data that showed Japan’s economy shrank by 0.6 percent on an annualized basis in the January-March quarter, a sharper contraction than the median estimate of 0.2 percent.

Crude oil prices remained near recent highs amid concerns U.S. sanctions on Iran may restrict crude exports from a major producer. In commodities markets, gold slightly rebounded after hitting a 4 1/2-month low the previous day on a strong dollar.

Upcoming Events:

  • 09:00 AM GMT – (EUR) Final CPI y/y
  • 12:00 PM GMT – (EUR) ECB President Draghi Speaks
  • 12:30 PM GMT – (CAD) Manufacturing Sales m/m
  • 12:30 PM GMT – (USD) Building Permits
  • 12:30 PM GMT – (USD) FOMC Member Bostic Speaks
  • 12:30 PM GMT – (USD) Housing Starts
  • 01:15 PM GMT – (USD) Capacity Utilization Rate
  • 01:15 PM GMT – (USD) Industrial Production m/m
  • 02:30 PM GMT – (USD) Crude Oil Inventories
  • 04:00 PM GMT – (CAD) Gov Council Member Schembri Speaks
  • 04:00 PM GMT – (CHF) SNB Chairman Jordan Speaks
  • &more…

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